Dependence structure between commodity and currency markets

Zusatztext

In the last decade, the Financialization process of commodity markets accentuated the interaction between commodity prices and other macroeconomic variables and stimulated the economic integration of developing countries. Within this study, we highlighted the emergence of the commodity financial market and its repercussions on the world economy as well as the characteristics of the storage theory. We examined the transmission mechanism between commodity prices and exchange rates. Hence, we have empirically investigated the dependence structure between Brent crude oil and currency values for eleven North African and MENA countries with respect to the EUR within extreme market events using both static and dynamic copula-GARCH models. Our results supported static copulas as the best specifications for all pairs. We found evidence of small and insignificant correlations between Brent oil and EUR exchange rates for all emerging countries except for Jordan and Saudi Arabia for which we found positive downward comovement between oil prices and home currencies with respect to the EUR.

Autorenportrait

Sarra HADDAD'26, from Bizerte, Tunisia. I am currently a PhD student in finance at the Higher Institute of Management of Tunis (since 2017). At the same institute, I obtained an honourable research master degree in economic and financial modelling in 2017, and before that, in 2014, I obtained a bachelor degree in management and economic sciences.

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